Former Vice President Joe Biden has pulled ahead of President Donald Trump in Georgia, and the candidates are statistically tied in Ohio, according to new Quinnipiac University polls of likely voters released on Wednesday.
The Georgia poll also shows Democratic challengers Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock leading against the Republican incumbents in the state’s races for U.S. Senate.
Biden holds a 7-point lead in Georgia, 51 percent to Trump’s 44 percent, with 4 percent of likely voters undecided in the state. Last month, Quinnipiac polls showed the race for the state was too close to call, with Biden at 50 percent and Trump at 47 percent. The Real Clear Politics polling average, by contrast, has Biden leading by only four-tenths of 1 percent in Georgia.
The current poll comes after the first presidential debate and Trump’s Covid-19 diagnosis. On Trump’s health, 59 percent of likely Georgia voters said they did not trust the president to tell the truth to Americans. With Biden, 50 percent of Georgia voters said they trusted him to tell the truth about his health.
“For Trump, 2016 is a distant memory,” said Tim Malloy, Quinnipiac’s polling analyst. “Defeating Hillary Clinton by 5 points when the polls closed then, and now down 7 to Biden with three weeks to go, warning lights are blinking red and alarms are going off in the Peach Tree state.”
The polls also show Ossoff and Warnock leading against their Republican opponents. Ossoff is ahead 6 points against Sen. David Perdue, 51 percent to 45 percent. That contrasts with the Real Clear Politics polling average, which has Perdue leading the race by 2.3 percentage points.
In the special election for Georgia’s other Senate seat, Warnock received the support of 41 percent of likely voters, while incumbent Sen. Kelly Loeffler got 20 percent and Rep. Doug Collins got 22 percent. Real Clear Politics has Warnock leading the race by 7.7 points over his nearest challenger — 31.1 percent, compared with Loeffler‘s 23.4 percent and Collins‘ 21.4 percent.
In Ohio, Biden and Trump are tied, according to Quinnipiac’s poll there, with Biden receiving the support of 48 percent of likely voters and Trump getting 47 percent.
Both polls were conducted Oct. 8-12. In Georgia, 1,040 likely voters were surveyed, and the poll had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. The Ohio poll, which surveyed 1,160 likely voters, had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.